[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jul 25 18:12:59 CDT 2008


ACUS11 KWNS 252311
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252310
KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-260045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1914
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0610 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND SERN MO...FAR SRN IL...WRN KY...NWRN
TN...NRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 252310Z - 260045Z

THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY ACROSS SERN
MO AND ADJACENT AREAS.  WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED TO COVER THE
INCREASING SEVERE THREAT.

MODERATELY-UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT /MIXED-LAYER CAPE UP TO 3000 J/KG/
EXISTS ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA...INVOF LINGERING FRONT LYING
NW-SE ACROSS MO.  STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NEAR THE BOUNDARY...AND
THEM MOVE SEWD THROUGH THE FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT.

WHILE DEEP-LAYER FLOW IS NOT EXCESSIVE...VWP/PROFILER DATA ACROSS MO
REVEALS MID-LEVEL FLOW FROM THE NW AT 30 KT -- CONTRIBUTING TO
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR MULTICELL ORGANIZATION AND PERHAPS
SOME UPDRAFT ROTATION.  THUS -- EXPECT A THREAT FOR HAIL/DAMAGING
WINDS TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING WITH STRONGER CELLS ACROSS THIS
AREA.

..GOSS.. 07/25/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...

38309056 37758957 36678846 35808881 35659005 36219240
37439294 38459336 38969274

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