[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 061745
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061744
VAZ000-WVZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-061845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1697
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1244 PM CDT SUN JUL 06 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE SRN-CENTRAL APPALACHIANS / ADJACENT
PIEDMONT AREAS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 061744Z - 061845Z

STORM COVERAGE SHOULD INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY EARLY-MID AFTERNOON
ALONG THE SRN-CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND ADJACENT PIEDMONT AREAS.  A
RISK OF LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS APPEARS POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT ISOLATED NATURE/LIMITED ORGANIZATION SUGGEST A WATCH
WILL LIKELY NOT BE NEEDED.

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CLOSED LOW ACROSS ERN KY WITH AN ATTENDANT
DRYSLOT ORIENTED ALONG THE SRN-CENTRAL APPALACHIAN MTNS.  IT APPEARS
THAT THE AFOREMENTIONED FEATURE WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE/PROVIDE SOME
FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS
THE DELINEATED REGION.  AREA MORNING SOUNDINGS SHOWED RELATIVELY
COOL TEMPS ALOFT /-9C DEG AT 500MB/...AND WHEN COMBINED WITH
CONTINUED DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION...MAY PROMOTE THE STRONGER
UPDRAFTS TO BE CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL.  STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES MAY ENHANCE WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL AS STORMS PROPAGATE OFF THE
HIGHER TERRAIN WITH TIME.  WHILE KINEMATIC FIELDS ARE RATHER
MARGINAL /AOB 30KTS 0-6 KM SHEAR/...INSTABILITY WILL PROBABLY
COMPENSATE TO PROMOTE SOME STORM ORGANIZATION.

..SMITH.. 07/06/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LWX...RAH...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...FFC...

33898468 35688329 36678212 38498054 38947970 38647904
37387953 36018056 35308118 34518218 33928271 33598330
33458365 33388413 33458439

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