[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 292157
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292156
INZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-292300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0108
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0356 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN AR...WRN TN...NWRN MS...SERN MO...WRN IL...WRN
KY

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 24...

VALID 292156Z - 292300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 24 CONTINUES.

THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WITHIN WW THROUGH 23Z WILL BE
LOCATED ACROSS FAR SERN MO...EXTREME WRN KY AND SRN IL. WIND DAMAGE
IS THE MOST LIKELY THREAT...THOUGH BRIEF TORNADOES ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.

STORMS HAVE RECENTLY INCREASE ALONG A COLD FRONT FROM NEAR SLO SWWD
TO EAST OF POF. THESE STORMS HAD DEVELOPED IN A REGION WHERE
SUNNY SKIES HAD WARMED TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 60S. ALSO...DEEP
LAYER ASCENT WAS INCREASING AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVED ENEWD
THROUGH CENTRAL MO. DESPITE WEAK INSTABILITY...MUCAPES AROUND 250
J/KG...DEEP LAYER SHEAR AT 50-60 KT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS. THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE STORMS THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. THE LINEAR NATURE OF THE STORMS AND INTENSE
PRESSURE RISES ARE SUGGESTIVE OF WIND DAMAGE. HOWEVER...1KM SHEAR
NEAR 30 KT ALSO FAVORS A TORNADO THREAT.

..IMY.. 01/29/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...

34369063 36218969 36619008 36819045 39338912 39338730
35748879 34368971

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