[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Jan 10 17:23:13 CST 2008


ACUS11 KWNS 102321
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102321
TNZ000-ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-110045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0052
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0521 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...AL...NW GA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 17...

VALID 102321Z - 110045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 17 CONTINUES.

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO ADVANCE
EWD ACROSS ERN AL AND NW GA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS
EVENING. TORNADOES AND WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE
INTENSE STORMS.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWD FROM WRN TN
INTO NW MS WITH A MOIST AXIS WITH 60 TO 65 DEGREE SFC DEWPOINTS
EXTENDING FROM SRN MS NNEWD ACROSS AL INTO FAR SRN MIDDLE TN. A 50
TO 60 KT LOW-LEVEL JET IS LOCATED FROM MIDDLE TN SWD INTO AL. THE
LATEST WSR-88D VWP OUT OF BIRMINGHAM AL IS SAMPLING THE LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR WELL WITH AN IMPRESSIVE CURVED HODOGRAPH AND 0-1 KM SHEAR
ABOVE 30 KT. EVEN THOUGH SBCAPE VALUES ARE RELATIVELY WEAK...THE
STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND IDEAL LOW-LEVEL SHEAR SHOULD CONTINUE TO
BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS EMBEDDED IN THE LINE WITH TORNADOES. THE
STRONG FLOW SHOULD ALSO BE FAVORABLE FOR WIND DAMAGE WITH THE BETTER
ORGANIZED BOWING SEGMENTS WITHIN THE LINE.

..BROYLES.. 01/10/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...BMX...HUN...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...

36628675 36578711 35878768 34288834 32558923 30959020
30319112 29139102 28969072 29008991 28928963 28888936
29228873 29808793 30878698 32848653 34988592 36378526



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