[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 060015
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060015
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-060145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0167
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0615 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF WRN/CNTRL KY/SW OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 060015Z - 060145Z

SEVERE THREAT...INCLUDING THE RISK FOR TORNADOES...IS EXPECTED TO
INCREASE THIS EVENING.  ADDITIONAL WWS ARE LIKELY.

A PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE NEAR A 50+ KT SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET IS
NOW THE FOCUS FOR INTENSE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...INCLUDING SEVERAL
POTENTIALLY TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ACROSS NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI INTO
SOUTHWEST KENTUCKY.  BETWEEN NOW AND 03-04Z...THE LOW-LEVEL JET IS
PROGGED TO INTENSIFY AS IT NOSES NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY...TO THE EAST/SOUTHEAST OF A SLOWLY DEEPENING SURFACE CYCLONE
MIGRATING ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS.  THIS
FEATURE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING/DESTABILIZATION
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF WESTERN/CENTRAL KENTUCKY...THROUGH
THE VICINITY OF SURFACE WARM FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA AND
SOUTHERN OHIO.  AND...THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING
STORMS...INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS.  EXTREME SHEAR BELOW LOW-LEVEL
JET AXIS WILL SUPPORT THE RISK FOR STRONG TORNADOES...WHICH COULD
AFFECT LOUISVILLE...CINCINNATI ...AND ADJACENT AREAS.

..KERR.. 02/06/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...

36908797 37678798 38718715 39478586 39548445 39028389
37768461 36678618 36628741

This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net