[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 051812
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051811
MSZ000-TNZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-051945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0158
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1211 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF NRN AND WRN MS...FAR ERN AR...SWRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 051811Z - 051945Z

CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS
WITH TORNADOES TO DEVELOP...AND A WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED WITHIN THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN INTO THE MID 70S OVER MUCH OF THE WARM
SECTOR WITH 63-66 F DEWPOINTS COMMON. SOME CAPPING REMAINS
ESPECIALLY WITH SWD EXTENT BUT CONTINUED HEATING AND DEEPENING OF
THE MOIST BL WILL ERODE CAP FROM BELOW.

OVERALL...FORCING IS RATHER UNFOCUSED IN THE FREE WARM SECTOR.
HOWEVER...DEEPENING LINES OF CU...WITH CONTINUED
DESTABILIZATION...MAY RESULT IN A FEW LONGER LIVED UPDRAFTS LEADING
TO ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHEAR PROFILES ARE QUITE FAVORABLE
FOR STORM ROTATION...THUS ANY STORMS THAT FORM COULD PRODUCE
TORNADOES.

..JEWELL.. 02/05/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...

33179192 35759104 35978963 35858872 34698852 32658881
32209033 32289094 32569189



This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net