[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 010011
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010010
KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-010115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0402
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0710 PM CDT SAT MAR 31 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MO/FAR SOUTHERN IL/WESTERN KY/FAR
NORTHWEST TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 010010Z - 010115Z

AN ISOLATED TORNADO/WIND DAMAGE THREAT MAY EXIST OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI/OHIO RIVER CONJUNCTION ACROSS FAR
SOUTHEAST MO/FAR SOUTHERN IL/FAR NORTHWEST TN INTO WESTERN KY. WILL
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR...HOWEVER THE ISOLATED NATURE OF THE
THREAT SUGGESTS A WATCH MAY NOT BE NEEDED.

SEVERE STORM IN NEW MADRID COUNTY MO HAS RECENTLY INTENSIFIED OVER
THE PAST 15 MINUTES. THIS CELL...AND PERHAPS ADDITIONAL STORMS...MAY
CONTINUE TO EXHIBIT LOW LEVEL ROTATION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS
WITHIN A HIGH SRH ENVIRONMENT. VAD WIND PROFILER DATA FROM PADUCAH
AND THE BLOOMFIELD MO PROFILER SUPPORTS 0-1 KM SRH IN EXCESS OF 300
MS/S2...SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS/LOW LEVEL MESOCYCLONES EVEN IN A
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT.

..GUYER.. 04/01/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...

36489001 37628938 37908873 37668807 36678815 36288834
35928980 36159000

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