[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 151646
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151645
WVZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-151745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1157
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 AM CDT FRI JUN 15 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SRN APPALACHIANS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 151645Z - 151745Z

ADDITIONAL TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
WRN SLOPES AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CENTRAL/SRN APPALACHIANS.  A
FEW STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED HAIL AND STRONG
WIND GUSTS.

ASCENT AND COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /-14 TO -16 C AT 500 MB/ WITH
COMPACT MID/UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE...CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER WRN WV NEAR
PKB...WILL SPREAD SSWWD ALONG THE WRN SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL/SRN
APPALACHIANS THIS AFTERNOON.  SURFACE HEATING WITHIN A MOIST AIR
MASS WEST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND BENEATH 6.5 C/KM MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES IS SUPPORTING MLCAPE VALUES UP TO 1000 J/KG.  AS ASCENT
SPREADS SWD...ADDITIONAL TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE WRN
SLOPES AND INTO THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH ACTIVITY TENDING TO MOVE
SSEWD.  30 KT NLY MID LEVEL JET ACCOMPANYING THE COMPACT IMPULSE
WITH WLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 20-30 KT OF EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR FOR MULTICELL TSTMS.

..PETERS.. 06/15/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...HUN...

38178122 37238134 36348157 35368254 34888337 34648467
35038578 35938568 36608523 37088471 37698401 38138318
38318241

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