[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 262045
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262045
MDZ000-WVZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-OHZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-262215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1587
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0345 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...IN...OH...KY...WV...PA...KY...TN...VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 262045Z - 262215Z

WIDELY SCATTERED LOCALLY INTENSE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN
A BROAD SWATH FROM THE UPPER OH VALLEY ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU/APPALACHIANS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. ISOLATED/RANDOM NATURE
OF THE THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE A WATCH.

POCKETS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE ONGOING WITHIN BROAD CYCLONIC
FLOW REGIME IN THE SERN QUADRANT OF LARGE SCALE CLOSED LOW ACROSS
THE UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES. AN AXIS OF MODEST TO LOCALLY STRONG
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE THE FUEL FOR A
FEW SEVERE STORMS CONTAINING HAIL AND PERHAPS ISOLATED DOWNBURSTS.
LACK OF WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL FOCUS...AND MARGINAL DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...SUGGEST THAT POTENTIAL FOR MORE
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN LOW. SOMEWHAT STRONGER MID
LEVEL FLOW OF ABOUT 30KT IS COINCIDENT WITH THE LOW LEVEL
INSTABILITY AXIS FROM NRN KY ACROSS PARTS OF SERN OH/WRN PA. MORE
PERSISTENT UPDRAFTS IN THIS CORRIDOR MAY HAVE SLIGHTLY GREATER
POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER. HOWEVER...EVEN HERE...STORM
DURATION/COVERAGE CURRENTLY APPEARS TOO LIMITED FOR A WATCH.

..CARBIN.. 07/26/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...CLE...GSP...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...

36108189 35908349 35688435 35558527 36148574 36698539
37438517 38018521 39038536 39078348 39598159 40368105
41538039 41787995 41497947 40797910 40027882 39337889
38777939 38117993 36288141

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