[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 012216
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012216
GAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-020015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1345
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0516 PM CDT SUN JUL 01 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN TN...NERN AL...NRN GA...SWRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 468...

VALID 012216Z - 020015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 468
CONTINUES.

POORLY ORGANIZED AND BROKEN SQUALL LINE ASSOCIATED WITH DECAYING MCS
ACROSS THE TN VALLEY CONTINUES TO MOVE GENERALLY EWD INTO VERY WARM
AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS FROM EXTREME ERN AL ACROSS NRN GA AND THE
MOUNTAINS ON THE TN/NC BORDER. A FEW INTENSE UPDRAFTS PERSIST ALONG
THE LINE OF FORCING AND COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY STRONG WINDS...OR
PERHAPS SOME HAIL. MEANWHILE....WIND SHIFT ASSOCIATED WITH RESIDUAL
SYNOPTIC FRONTAL ZONE WAS SETTLING SWD ACROSS NERN GA INTO CNTRL GA
WITH A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS OCCURRING NEAR THIS BOUNDARY FROM
CARROLL...CLAYTON...AND HENRY COUNTIES IN GA...TO OUTSIDE THE WATCH
AREA IN WASHINGTON AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES.

LATEST MESOANALYSIS DEPICTS A POOL OF GREATER INSTABILITY /MLCAPE
AROUND 1500 J/KG/ AHEAD OF BOTH THE DECAYING SQUALL LINE AND THE
FRONT. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW MORE INTENSE STORMS AS
THESE BOUNDARIES CONTINUE TO MERGE THIS EVENING. WEAK
KINEMATICS/SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO BE OFFSET BY LOCALLY HIGH
INSTABILITY AND RESULT IN STORMS OCCASIONALLY PRODUCING DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WINDS UNTIL AIR MASS BEGINS TO STABILIZE LATER THIS
EVENING.

..CARBIN.. 07/01/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...HUN...

33458645 35388519 35798474 35518395 35258402 35268365
35058351 34518362 34488336 34298337 34298311 34018282
33158328 32748354 32278391 32218400 32608492 32768523
33148593 33128650

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