[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Apr 3 21:15:50 CDT 2007


ACUS11 KWNS 040214
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040214
MSZ000-TNZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-040315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0434
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0914 PM CDT TUE APR 03 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AR...WRN TN...NRN MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 114...

VALID 040214Z - 040315Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 114 CONTINUES.

DEEPENING WLY FLOW ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY WILL INHIBIT RAPID SWD
MOVEMENT TO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS AR THIS EVENING...ALTHOUGH
CONSIDERABLE COLD POOL DOWNSTREAM WILL CERTAINLY DRIVE CONVECTION
SEWD ACROSS TN AT A REASONABLE RATE.  SWLY LLJ IS FOCUSED ACROSS
MIDDLE TN WHICH APPEARS TO BE AIDING WARM ADVECTION-TYPE ACTIVITY
THAT IS NOW DEVELOPING WELL AHEAD OF MAIN LINE.  LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS
MAXIMIZED OVER NERN MS/NWRN AL SUGGESTING ANY SUPERCELLS THAT CAN
REMAIN DISCRETE COULD PRODUCE ISOLATED TORNADOES.  HOWEVER...MAIN
STORM MODE WILL REMAIN MOSTLY LINEAR WITH CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW RACING
SEVERAL MILES AHEAD OF PRECIPITATION.  LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS LARGE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM AS IT
SHIFTS SEWD.  WW WILL BE REPLACED SHORTLY.

..DARROW.. 04/04/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...

33829419 34759227 35278900 33738843 32889321

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