[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Apr 3 17:25:23 CDT 2007


ACUS11 KWNS 032224
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032223
NCZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-INZ000-040030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0431
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0523 PM CDT TUE APR 03 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL KY...MIDDLE AND ERN TN...NRN AL AND NRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 113...

VALID 032223Z - 040030Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 113
CONTINUES.

CLUSTER OF STG-SVR STORMS OVER NRN GA AND SRN MIDDLE TN SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD AROUND 15-20 KTS. ALTHOUGH THE SVR THREAT WILL
CONTINUE FOR A LITTLE WHILE EAST OF WW 113...A GRADUAL DECREASING
TREND IS EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY GIVEN LESSER INSTABILITY
/MUCAPES DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1000 J/KG/ OVER ERN TN...NERN GA
AND FAR WRN SC. FURTHER WEST...MUCH OF NRN AL WILL LIKELY SEE LITTLE
IF ANY SVR POTENTIAL OR RE-DEVELOPMENT BEFORE WW EXPIRATION TIME
/02Z/ GIVEN LACK OF DISCERNABLE LOW-MID LEVEL FORCING
MECHANISM...BUT THIS AREA WILL LIKELY BE INCLUDED IN A NEW WW LATER
THIS EVENING. AREAS OF NRN MIDDLE TN AND SCENTRAL KY WILL SEE SVR
THREAT INCREASING OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS AS A WELL ORGANIZED SQUALL
LINE MOVES SEWD AND INTERACTS WITH DEVELOPING ISOLATED SVR
CONVECTION ALONG WARM FRONTAL/MOISTURE GRADIENT.

..CROSBIE.. 04/03/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...PAH...

35618770 33458740 33528470 34138370 34948380 35908397
36938543 38108574 37988641 36228756



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