[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 261542
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261542
VAZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-261745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0986
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1042 AM CDT FRI MAY 26 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 261542Z - 261745Z

A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED IN THE NEAR TERM...BUT CONVECTIVE TRENDS/
POTENTIAL IS BEING MONITORED.

WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO SLOWLY SHIFT EASTWARD INTO/
THROUGH THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY REGION...AND LEADING EDGE
OF STRONGER MID-LEVEL FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION APPEARS TO
BE SPREADING INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.  BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER
...EVIDENT FROM PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA THROUGH THE
MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...LIKELY WILL ALLOW SUFFICIENT HEATING
FOR DESTABILIZATION AND INCREASING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THROUGH
THE 17-19Z TIME FRAME. AS STORMS DEVELOP ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPES
OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN...VERTICAL SHEAR BENEATH 30-40 KT CYCLONIC
MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR AT LEAST BRIEF UPDRAFT ROTATION
IN STRONGER CELLS.  CAPE IS GENERALLY WEAK...BUT COULD LOCALLY
EXCEED 1000 J/KG...AND MAY SUPPORT A STORMS WITH HAIL APPROACHING OR
BRIEFLY EXCEEDING SEVERE LIMITS.

..KERR.. 05/26/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...GSP...MRX...

38118033 38737970 40197840 39297777 38417833 37007978
35998139 35578243 35838290 36288312 36978195

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