[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 260611
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260611
VAZ000-NCZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-260745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0981
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0111 AM CDT FRI MAY 26 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS NERN TN...NWRN NC...S-CENTRAL/SWRN
VA...EXTREME SRN WV...EXTREME SERN KY.

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 398...

VALID 260611Z - 260745Z

REMAINDER WW SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 7Z. SVR
POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH WITH TIME WITH ANY CONVECTION
STILL LINGERING IN WW BY THEN...THOUGH MRGL WIND/HAIL THREAT MAY
SHIFT/DEVELOP SEWD ACROSS PORTIONS NERN TN...EXTREME NWRN NC AND WRN
VA.  ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM FOR THIS REGION.

PRIMARY BAND OF CONVECTION NOW EXITING ERN KY SHOULD MOVE ACROSS
PORTIONS EXTREME SWRN VA AND NWRN TN.  GENERAL WARMING TREND IS
NOTED IN CLOUD TOPS ON IR IMAGERY. THIS ACTIVITY MAY REACH EXTREME
NWRN NC ALSO...BUT PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE IN SUCH AN EVENT APPEARS
SMALL BECAUSE OF OUTFLOW AIR FROM ACTIVITY FARTHER E.
MEANWHILE...OCCASIONAL STG OR MRGLLY SVR GUSTS ARE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON HIGHER/EXPOSED W FACES OF RIDGES.
ADDITIONAL MULTICELLULAR TSTMS W AND N CSV MAY BRIEFLY INTENSIFY
UPON INTERACTING WITH OUTFLOW FROM ERN KY BAND...BUT SVR POTENTIAL
APPEARS POORLY ORGANIZED ATTM. SCATTERED TSTMS OVER WRN VA ALREADY
HAVE PRODUCED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY -- EVIDENT IN REFLECTIVITY ANIMATIONS
-- THAT IS MOVING SEWD TOWARD VA/NC BORDER W DAN.  TSTMS IN THIS
REGION SHOULD REMAIN OUTFLOW DOMINANT. HOWEVER...GENERAL DECREASE
IN POTENTIAL STRENGTH OF SFC GUSTS IS EXPECTED BECAUSE OF
STABILIZING EFFECTS OF DEEPENING LAYER OF DIABATICALLY COOLED AIR
NEAR SFC.  ELEVATED MUCAPES DECREASE FROM AROUND 1500 J/KG OVER
E-CENTRAL TN TO LESS THAN 500 J/KG IN SWRN VA.

..EDWARDS.. 05/26/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...

36878444 37438286 37398229 37248136 37197853 36507908
36398013 36148285 35868396 36548447

This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net