[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu May 25 19:40:57 CDT 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 260039
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260039
WVZ000-PAZ000-OHZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-260215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0978
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0739 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KY...WRN WV...SE OH

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 397...

VALID 260039Z - 260215Z

THE SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY EXPAND SEWD ACROSS ERN KY...SE OH AND
WRN WV OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND WIND
DAMAGE WILL EXISTS AND A NEW WW WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

A LARGE LINEAR MCS IS CURRENTLY ONGOING JUST AHEAD OF AN UPPER-LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND 60 KT MID-LEVEL JET MAX. AS THE UPPER-SYSTEM
ASSOCIATED WITH THE JET SHIFTS ESEWD THIS EVENING...THE LINEAR MCS
SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF ERN KY...SE OH INTO
WRN WV. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN
PLACE WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES IN THE 35 TO 45 KT RANGE SUGGESTING
THE ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. WIND DAMAGE WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE BOWING SEGMENTS
WHILE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER CELLS EMBEDDED IN
THE LINE.

..BROYLES.. 05/26/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...

36578529 37048599 37528576 38068424 38648358 39838247
40478206 40548108 39958030 38698085 37308224 36738336
36638382

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