[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 252144
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252144
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-252315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0976
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0444 PM CDT THU MAY 25 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SRN IND...WRN KY...FAR SRN IL...FAR SE MO

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 393...

VALID 252144Z - 252315Z

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS FAR SRN IND AND WRN KY. ALSO...LARGE
HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. A
TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY ACROSS WRN KY.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A MOIST AXIS EXTENDING NWD ACROSS WRN TN
INTO WRN KY WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE UPPER 60S F TO LOWER 70S F.
AS A RESULT...THE AIRMASS IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE SOUTH OF A LINE OF
SEVERE STORMS MOVING SEWD THROUGH SRN IND ATTM. REGIONAL WSR-88D
VWPS CURRENTLY SHOW MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR IN PLACE WITH STRONG
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES. THIS COMBINED WITH RELATIVELY LOW-LCL
HEIGHTS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES WITH SUPERCELLS THAT MOVE
SEWD ACROSS FAR SRN IND AND WRN KY NEAR THE OH RIVER THROUGH EARLY
EVENING. A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY AS THE
LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS EARLY THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND WIND
DAMAGE WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE STRONGER STORMS IN THE LINE. IN
ADDITION...THE THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND
WIND DAMAGE SHOULD EXPAND SWD ACROSS MOST OF WRN KY THIS EVENING AS
STORM COVERAGE INCREASES AND A LARGE LINEAR MCS DEVELOPS ACROSS THE
REGION.

..BROYLES.. 05/25/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...PAH...LSX...

36658604 36538859 36558984 36969013 37599008 38068952
38408775 38478620 38438473 38098415 37448407 36978423

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