[BNAWX] Severe Local Storm Watch and Watch Cancellation MSG

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed May 3 14:18:33 CDT 2006


WWUS20 KWNS 031917
SEL3
SPC WW 031917
ARZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-040200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 283
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM CDT WED MAY 3 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
       NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
       WESTERN TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
NASHVILLE TENNESSEE TO 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HOT SPRINGS
ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 282...

DISCUSSION...VERY UNSTABLE/UNCAPPED AIR MASS ACROSS WATCH AREA WITH
MID LEVEL MCV MOVING EWD ACROSS NRN AR.  WITH ENHANCED ASCENT AND
20-30KT OF FLOW AHEAD OF MCV...EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO INCREASE IN
NUMBER AND INTENSITY THRU THE AFTERNOON.  PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE
LARGE HAIL WITH LOCAL SEVERE DOWNBURSTS IN STRONGEST STORMS

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26025.


...HALES
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