[BNAWX] Severe Local Storm Watch and Watch Cancellation MSG

[EMWIN Server]

WWUS20 KWNS 031803
SEL2
SPC WW 031803
ARZ000-ILZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-040100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 282
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
105 PM CDT WED MAY 3 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHERN ARKANSAS
       SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
       WESTERN KENTUCKY
       SOUTHERN MISSOURI
       NORTHWESTERN TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 105 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF JOPLIN
MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...VERY UNSTABLE  AIR MASS ACROSS WATCH AREA WITH E/W
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS SRN MO.  WHILE SHEAR IS ONLY 25-30 KT THE
2500 J/KG OF CAPE AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES SUPPORT LARGE HAIL
WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORM.  STORMS WILL INCREASE IN BOTH NUMBER
AND INTENSITY THRU THE AFTERNOON.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24025.


...HALES

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