[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue May 2 13:27:13 CDT 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 021826
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021826
GAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-021930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0719
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0126 PM CDT TUE MAY 02 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF MIDDLE/ERN TN...NRN AL...AND NRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 021826Z - 021930Z

WW MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PARTS OF MIDDLE/ERN TN INTO NRN AL AND NRN
GA.

THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER MIDDLE TN AND MOST RECENTLY
ACROSS NWRN GA...WITH THIS ACTIVITY DEVELOPING ALONG AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY WHICH EXTENDED FROM WRN NC SWWD INTO NRN GA AND THEN WNWWD
THROUGH FAR NERN AL TO WRN MIDDLE TN /60 E MKL/.  LARGE SCALE ASCENT
AND LOCALIZED STRONGER WLY MID LEVEL WINDS WITH APPARENT MCV...
CURRENTLY TRACKING EWD INTO MIDDLE TN...SHOULD SUPPORT ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ALONG/E OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY.
STRONGER INSTABILITY RESIDES W OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY...BUT WLY
LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE FAVORABLE INFLOW OF THIS
MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR MASS.  30-45 KT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL FAVOR
ORGANIZED STORMS...WITH ACTIVITY TENDING TO MOVE ESE ATOP MORE
STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER EAST OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.  THUS...HAIL SHOULD
BE PRIMARY THREAT WITH ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS.

..PETERS.. 05/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

34078676 34788792 35998811 36198615 35958407 34618335
33838419

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