[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Jun 3 19:08:41 CDT 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 040007
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040007
KYZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-040130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1056
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0707 PM CDT SAT JUN 03 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN IL...EXTREME SWRN IND AND FAR WRN KY

CONCERNING...CONVECTIVE TRENDS

VALID 040007Z - 040130Z

PERSISTENT TSTM CLUSTER OVER SERN IL AND SWRN IND IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE SWD ACROSS THE OH RVR BY 01Z AND INTO FAR WRN KY WEST OF
MADISONVILLE AND NORTH OF PRINCETON BETWEEN 01-02Z.

MESOANALYSIS SHOWS A LOW OVER SCNTRL IL WITH A FRONT EXTENDING NWWD
INTO NRN MO.  THE TSTMS INITIATED VCNTY THE LOW LATE THIS AFTN AND
ARE PROPAGATING SWD...BEING FED FROM UPSTREAM PARCELS OVER MO AND
SRN IL.  VERTICAL SHEAR WAS ON THE ORDER OF 30-35 KTS AND GIVEN
MAGNITUDE OF LAPSE RATES ALOFT...BRIEF SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS
WERE OBSERVED THIS EVENING.  ACTIVITY SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN THROUGH
MID-EVENING AS IT MOVES INTO FAR WRN KY TOWARDS NWRN SECTIONS OF
MIDDLE TN.  UNTIL THEN...HOWEVER...HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
LIKELY.

..RACY.. 06/04/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...

38388806 37288717 36428750 36728812 38288847

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