[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 212351
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 212350
NCZ000-SCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-220115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1600
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0650 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN MO/FAR NERN AR/MUCH OF TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 632...

VALID 212350Z - 220115Z

SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS WW AREA...WITH NEW WW POSSIBLE INTO
NRN GA/THE WRN CAROLINAS.

LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS STORMS MOVING ESEWD ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU OF ERN TN...ALONG LEADING EDGE OF COLD POOL ON SRN FRINGE OF
LARGE MCS.  MEANWHILE...ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE MOVING EWD/ESEWD
ACROSS SERN MO AND NERN AR...THROUGH A LARGELY UNDISTURBED AIRMASS
WHICH EXTENDS EWD ACROSS WRN AND INTO SRN MIDDLE TN.

THOUGH DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD WEAKENS WITH SWD EXTENT...VERY WARM
BOUNDARY LAYER IS SUPPORTING SUFFICIENT SUB-CLOUD EVAPORATIVE
POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED COLD POOL MAINTENANCE -- AND THUS ASSOCIATED
THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS.

STORMS MOVING ACROSS SERN MO/NERN AR ARE LARGELY CONTAINED WITHIN
WATCHES ATTM.  HOWEVER...STORMS MOVING SEWD ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU MAY MOVE SE OF WW 632 INTO PARTS OF NRN GA AND THE WRN
CAROLINAS.  GIVEN DEGREE OF COLD POOL ORGANIZATION AND A
FAVORABLY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE SRN APPALACHIANS REGION...NEW WW
MAY BE REQUIRED.

..GOSS.. 07/21/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

36599077 36588386 36238259 34928186 34368331 34958531
35268717 35319075

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