[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 022014
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022014
NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-022215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1414
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0314 PM CDT SUN JUL 02 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN AL/NRN GA/NW SC/WRN NC/ERN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 022014Z - 022215Z

...ISOLD SVR TSTMS LIKELY THIS AFTN WITH MAIN THREATS OF HAIL AND
STRONG/SVR TSTM WIND GUSTS...

SIMILAR TO THE PAST FEW DAYS...ISOLD STRONG/SVR TSTMS HAVE FORMED
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SRN APPALACHIANS. AIRMASS HAS BECOME
MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE VALUES NEAR 1500-2000 J/KG...AND
MODIFIED 12Z BIRMINGHAM/ATLANTA SOUNDINGS SUPPORT THESE VALUES. LOW
LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE PARTICULARLY STEEP AS STRONG INSOLATION HAS
ALLOW TEMPS TO RISE INTO THE MID 90S TO AROUND 100. WINDS ALOFT ARE
WEAK...SO STORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY AND BE PULSE-LIKE IN NATURE. GIVEN
TEMP/DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS NEAR 30-40 DEGREES...MAIN THREAT WILL BE
STRONG/SVR WIND GUSTS WITH STORMS.

..TAYLOR.. 07/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...

34348255 33488446 34178602 34578622 35338600 35688506
36148208 36568046 36377996 34888094 34508183

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