[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Jan 2 19:33:21 CST 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 030129
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030129
WVZ000-VAZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-NCZ000-030300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0027
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0729 PM CST MON JAN 02 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KY/NE TN/FAR SW WV/FAR WRN WV

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 11...

VALID 030129Z - 030300Z

VALID PORTION OF SEVERE TSTM WATCH #11 CONTINUES UNTIL 04Z...BUT IT
APPEARS THREAT MAY DIMINISH CONSIDERABLY BEFORE SCHEDULED EXPIRATION
TIME.

AN ISOLATED SHORT-TERM SEVERE HAIL/WIND THREAT REMAINS ACROSS FAR SE
KY INTO EXTREME SW WV/WRN VA AND NE TN...ALTHOUGH THREAT SHOULD
CONTINUE TO TREND DOWNWARD OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. VERTICAL SHEAR
REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR WIND DAMAGE/STORM ORGANIZATION -- ESPECIALLY
WITH SOUTH EXTENT PER AREA WSR-88D VADS -- HOWEVER COOLING BOUNDARY
LAYER/DIMINISHING SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY WILL BE DETRIMENTAL
FACTORS IN AN ALREADY MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT.

..GUYER.. 01/03/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...

37998232 38068184 37638160 36928205 35758253 35608282
35618347 35628404 36258411 36608392

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