[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 010045
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010045
KYZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-010145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0706
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0745 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN MO...EXTREME SRN IL...EXTREME NERN AR
AND EXTREME WRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 010045Z - 010145Z

THE TORNADO THREAT WILL DIMINISH THROUGH MID-EVENING.

THAT PORTION OF THE LINEAR MCS MOVING ACROSS SRN IL AND FAR WRN KY
HAS DIMINISHED OWING TO STORMS MOVING EWD INTO A COOLER BOUNDARY
LAYER. STRONGEST INSTABILITY AXIS RESIDES UPSTREAM ACROSS AR WHERE
BOUNDARY LAYER HEATED MORE STRONGLY TODAY.  PARCELS FEEDING THE
SUPERCELL IN THE MO BOOTHEEL ORIGINATE FROM THIS ENVIRONMENT AND THE
STORM COULD MAINTAIN INTENSITY THROUGH 02-03Z. LOW-LEVEL FLOW
REMAINS DECIDEDLY BACKED VCNTY THIS STORM AND THE TORNADO THREAT
WILL CONTINUE IN THE NEAR TERM.  AFTER THAT...IT IS REASONABLE TO
EXPECT A DOWNTURN IN THE STRENGTH AND WEAKENING STORM STRUCTURE.

..RACY.. 05/01/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...

36409024 38538850 38418820 37408822 36538880 35779001

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