[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 301930
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301930
ILZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-302130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0703
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NE AR...SE MO...WRN TN...WRN KY INTO SRN
IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 266...

VALID 301930Z - 302130Z

CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN
INCREASING TORNADO THREAT...MAINLY IN AND AROUND THE MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL.

AS A MID-LEVEL COLD CORE/SPEED MAXIMA CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST
NORTHEAST OF THE OZARK PLATEAU LATE THIS AFTERNOON...STRONGEST
LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION IS PROGGED TO BECOME FOCUSED ACROSS THE
MISSOURI BOOTHEEL AREA AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF SURROUNDING STATES.
THIS WILL BECOME JUXTAPOSED WITH LINGERING NARROW LOW-LEVEL MOIST
AXIS ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS SEEM
LIKELY TO MAINTAIN A MORE BACKED/SOUTHERLY ORIENTATION BENEATH 30 KT
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AROUND 850 MB.  GIVEN BETTER LOW-LEVEL
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT AND MORE FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL
HODOGRAPHS...POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES MAY INCREASE AS STRONGER STORMS
DEVELOP INTO AREA BOUNDED BY JONESBORO AR/POPLAR BLUFF MO/CARBONDALE
IL/DYERS BURG TN THROUGH 22-23Z.

..KERR.. 04/30/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...

36559084 37509039 37988956 37778877 37098863 35908922
35659022 35899074

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