[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Nov 28 00:45:43 CST 2005


ACUS11 KWNS 280643
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280643
TNZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-280745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2486
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1243 AM CST MON NOV 28 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN AR...SERN MO...WRN TN...NWRN MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 879...

VALID 280643Z - 280745Z

THREATS OF DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE WITH
PERSISTING LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS LIFTING NEWD TOWARDS THE MS RIVER
VALLEY ATTM...THIS INCLUDES THE MEM AREA.  WW 879 CAN BE CLEARED IN
WAKE OF THESE STORMS...AND WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO
EXPIRATION ONCE STORMS MOVE EAST OF THE WATCH.

VWP DATA INDICATES EXTREME LOW LEVEL SHEAR REMAINS IN PLACE AHEAD OF
THESE STORMS WITH BLM PROFILER INDICATING 0-1 KM SRH IN EXCESS OF
550 M2/S2 AND 60 KT OF FLOW JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE.  GIVEN THE
DISCRETE NATURE AND THE PERSISTENT LOW LEVEL ROTATION COINCIDENT
WITH THE STRONGER CORES... ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES
WILL REMAIN A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY WITH ANY DISCRETE CORE...DESPITE
LATEST CG LIGHTNING AND IR CLOUD TOP IMAGES SUGGESTING A GENERAL
WEAKENING TREND TO BROKEN LINE OF STORMS.

..EVANS.. 11/28/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...

33909093 36029065 37009035 37218926 36768892 33868989

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