[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 061120
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061120
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-061215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2383
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0520 AM CST SUN NOV 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SWRN OH...SERN IND...WRN KY...WRN TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 845...

VALID 061120Z - 061215Z

TORNADO WATCH 845 EXPIRES AT 12Z.

ANALYSIS PLACES A 994 MB LOW OVER SRN LK MI AT 11Z WITH STRONG
PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS NRN LWR MI.  THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NEWD THIS MORNING.  LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELDS
CONTINUE TO ADJUST TO THE RAPIDLY DEEPENING CYCLONE...WITH SEVERAL
SEGMENTED CONVERGENCE ZONES ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OH VLY SWD INTO THE
TN VLY.  THE PRIMARY BAND OF TSTMS HAS MOVED EWD INTO WW/S 847/848.
BUT...ADDITIONAL STORMS HAVE BEEN FORMING ACROSS WCNTRL OH SWWD INTO
SRN IND ALONG ONE OF THE CONVERGENCE ZONES.  A NARROW TONGUE OF
LOW-MID 60S DEW POINTS CONTINUES JUST AHEAD OF THIS NEW TSTM LINE
SEGMENT AND COULD SIGNAL A RENEWED SEVERE THREAT ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WRN OH SWWD INTO NWRN KY...OR ALONG ERN EDGE OF THE EXPIRING WT 845.
 MAIN SEVERE THREAT WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS...THOUGH AN ISOLD
TORNADO AND HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT.  ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO THE
NEW WW/S DOWNSTREAM SHORTLY AFTER 12Z.

FARTHER S...ACROSS WRN TN...GIVEN THAT MAIN MASS CONVERGENCE/LLJ IS
TRANSLATING NWD...IT APPEARS THE SEVERE THREAT HAS DIMINISHED.

..RACY.. 11/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...MEG...

35048924 37958728 38918693 39888606 40638382 39888396
39038422 38468556 35048827

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