[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat May 14 14:10:05 CDT 2005


ACUS11 KWNS 141909
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141909
WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-VAZ000-TNZ000-NCZ000-142045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0879
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0209 PM CDT SAT MAY 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/ERN KY...MUCH OF MIDDLE-ERN TN...EXTREME
SWRN NC...SMALL PART OF EXTREME WRN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 276...

VALID 141909Z - 142045Z

MAINTAIN WW.  INITIAL BANDS AND CLUSTERS OF STRONG-SEVERE CONVECTION
CONTINUE TO MOVE NEWD ACROSS WW MAINTAINING POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG-SEVERE GUSTS AND ISOLATED HAIL. THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE INTO
HIGHER...DIABATICALLY HEATED TERRAIN WHERE MLCAPES 500-1000 J/KG AND
WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYERS ARE EVIDENT FROM MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS.
AS ACTIVITY MOVES OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...GROUND SFC RISES WITH
RESPECT TO DOWNDRAFT GENERATION REGIONS ALOFT. THIS FACTOR MAY
ENHANCE WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL AMIDST FAVORABLY UNSTABLE INFLOW AIR
MASS.

FARTHER W...AS POST CONVECTIVE CLOUDS CONTINUE TO CLEAR...AIR MASS
IS DESTABILIZING AHEAD OF SFC COLD FRONT...ACROSS PORTIONS
MIDDLE/WRN TN AND CENTRAL KY.  TSTMS ARE INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY ACCORDINGLY OVER THIS AREA...AND WILL MOVE INTO
WRN/CENTRAL PORTIONS WW...ALSO WITH POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING GUSTS.

..EDWARDS.. 05/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...HUN...

35208413 35208677 38688498 38688221

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