[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 140920
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140920
TNZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-141145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0874
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0420 AM CDT SAT MAY 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN/CENTRAL AND ERN AR...WRN TN AND FAR NWRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 140920Z - 141145Z

ISOLATED MARGINAL SVR HAIL POTENTIAL WILL EXIST OVER THE AREA
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. A WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED DUE TO THE LIMITED THREAT EXPECTED.

CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE FROM SWRN INTO
CENTRAL AR AND OVER NERN AR/WRN TN MAINLY ALONG A DEEP CONFLUENCE
ZONE ENHANCED BY THE SWLY LOW LEVEL JET AND NRN AR MCS OUTFLOW.
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ENEWD INTO WRN TN AND FAR NWRN
MS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL FLOW AHEAD
OF APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOTED BY THE DQU PROFILER AND LZK
VWP WILL SUPPORT AROUND 25-30 KTS OF CLOUD BEARING SHEAR. ALONG WITH
MUCAPES AROUND 1200 J/KG AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSER RATES THERE WILL
EXIST A THREAT FOR MARGINALLY SVR HAIL.

..CROSBIE.. 05/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...

36418935 35379252 34509396 34299465 33739450 33259333
33349211 35098897 36488842

This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net