[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 132147
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132147
OHZ000-WVZ000-MIZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-132315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0863
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0447 PM CDT FRI MAY 13 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN IL / IN / WRN KY / OH / SERN MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 267...268...270...

VALID 132147Z - 132315Z

GREATEST WIND THREAT WILL BE FROM CENTRAL IN/OH NWD...WHERE WIND
FIELDS ARE STRONGEST. AREA VWPS INDICATE ABOUT 40-50 KTS MEAN FLOW
850-500 MB. FARTHER E...ALTHOUGH UPPER FLOW IS WEAKER OVER CENTRAL
AND ERN OH...ORGANIZED CONVECTION TO THE WEST WILL CONTINUE MOVING
EWD INTO STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT...WITH A FEW
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE ALONG WITH HAIL. THIS AREA MAY REQUIRE
A WW.

IT REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL / ERN IL AND
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS FORECAST HERE WITHIN LOW PRESSURE TROUGH.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE NEWD INTO IN WITH ADDITIONAL SEVERE
POSSIBLE. FARTHER S...ISOLATED HAIL REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER WW 268
INTO WRN KY WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY.

..JEWELL.. 05/13/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...DTX...LMK...IWX...GRR...OHX...IND...PAH...LOT...ILX...MEG...

43058192 42408195 42128062 41688060 39848096 38368283
38378526 38638522 38658555 36508739 36488958 38648781
38658858 42808738 42778454 43158445

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