[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jun 8 12:03:28 CDT 2005


ACUS11 KWNS 081703
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081703
OHZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-081800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1242
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1203 PM CDT WED JUN 08 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/SRN IND SWD ACROSS WRN/CENTRAL KY TO MIDDLE
TN AND NRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 081703Z - 081800Z

ISOLATED WIND GUSTS APPROACHING AND/OR LOCALLY EXCEEDING SEVERE
LEVELS POSSIBLE INTO THE AFTERNOON FROM PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/SRN IND
SWD ACROSS WRN/CENTRAL KY TO MIDDLE TN AND NRN AL.  SOME HAIL WILL
BE POSSIBLE...BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS.

REGIONAL RADARS/LIGHTNING DATA AND SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG A WEAK ZONE OF CONFLUENCE AND
INSTABILITY AXIS EXTENDING N-S ACROSS THE AREA OF CONCERN.  THESE
STORMS...AND THE LIKELIHOOD FOR ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY...APPEAR TO BE
AIDED BY LARGE SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING
EWD ACROSS THE LOWER OH VALLEY.  PULSE TYPE STORMS ARE EXPECTED...
GIVEN WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR COMBINED WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY.
HIGH WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS /AROUND 12 KFT/ SHOULD LIMIT HAIL SIZE...
WHILE THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE FROM LOCALIZED STRONG WIND GUSTS.

..PETERS.. 06/08/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...FFC...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...BMX...HUN...PAH...

37008769 39588732 39988679 39818463 39368417 37478466
35338533 34078568 33938630 34008728 34378803

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