[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 030127
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030127
VAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-030600-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0142
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0727 PM CST WED FEB 02 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...APPALACHIANS OF NC

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET

VALID 030127Z - 030600Z

FREEZING RAIN/SLEET EXPECTED TO INCREASE INVOF NC APPALACHIANS THIS
EVENING...WITH POTENTIAL FOR HOURLY LIQUID EQUIVALENTS OF 0.05 IN/HR
AND SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION LATE THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT.

00Z RUC IN ACCORDANCE WITH RADAR/SATELLITE TRENDS SUGGESTS
INCREASING PRECIPITATION COVERAGE/INTENSITY REMAINDER OF EVENING
ACROSS THE SRN APPALACHIANS. IN THE LOW LEVELS...COLD AIR REMAINS
WEDGED OWING TO NE STATES HIGH PRESSURE...WITH E/NE TRAJECTORIES
EVIDENT BELOW 1 KM IN GSP VAD. ACCORDINGLY 00Z RUC/18Z NAM SUGGEST
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES EXPECTED TO QUICKLY BECOME SUPPORTIVE OF
SLEET AND/OR FZRA UPON EFFECTIVE SATURATION OF THE LOW LEVELS THIS
EVENING INVOF APPALACHIANS...AS ELEVATED WARM LAYER CONTINUES TO
EXIST ABOVE SATURATING/SHALLOW COLD BOUNDARY LAYER. FCST SOUNDINGS
ALSO INDICATIVE OF POTENTIAL INSTABILITY BASED AROUND/ABOVE 700
MB...THUS CONVECTIVE COMPONENT MAY LEAD TO EPISODIC AREAS OF HIGHER
SLEET/FZRA RATES.

..GUYER.. 02/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS...FOUR TIMES A DAY...BETWEEN 00-01 UTC...
06-07 UTC...12-13 UTC...AND 18-19 UTC AS SIGNIFICANT SHORT
RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS UNFOLD.  THIS SCHEDULE WILL BE
USED FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28.

ATTN...WFO...RNK...GSP...MRX...FFC...

36578135 36438126 35988144 35528193 35028306 34918345
35038368 35368356 35548353 35878272 36158201 36658160



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