[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 30 07:48:37 CDT 2005


ACUS11 KWNS 301248
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301247
GAZ000-SCZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-301445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2119
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TN/PARTS OF WRN NC/CENTRAL AND NRN GA...

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 758...

VALID 301247Z - 301445Z

TORNADO THREAT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS
ACROSS WW AREA.

THOUGH CONVECTION HAS REMAINED ISOLATED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS...SUBTLE INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY HAS BEEN NOTED OVER
THE PAST HALF HOUR OR SO...PARTICULARLY ACROSS NERN GA AND INTO THE
WRN CAROLINAS. THIS IS POSSIBLY IN RESPONSE TO THE ONSET OF LIMITED
HEATING...WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURE RISES OF 1 TO 2 DEGREES NOTED AT
A FEW LOCATIONS OVER THE PAST HOUR.  AS LIMITED/LOCAL HEATING
CONTINUES...DESTABILIZATION OF AIRMASS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW
WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THIS REGION AND EWD INTO
NEWLY-ISSUED WW 759.

WITH LOCAL VWPS SHOWING FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL VEERING/SHEAR...STORMS
DEVELOPING OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS SHOULD RAPIDLY ACQUIRE
LOW-LEVEL ROTATION.  THIS COMBINED WITH VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER
/DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE MID 70S/ ACROSS THIS REGION SUGGESTS
THAT TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE WITH TIME THROUGH THIS MORNING.

..GOSS.. 08/30/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...

32098505 36508587 36578286 32008220

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