[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 162102
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162102
VAZ000-NCZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-162200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1994
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0402 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN WV / WRN AND SWRN VA / PARTS OF NWRN-NRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 723...

VALID 162102Z - 162200Z

PARAMETERS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS PRODUCING STRONG WIND
GUSTS AND HAIL TO CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS SRN WV...
WRN AND SWRN VA AND IN PARTS OF NWRN TO NRN NC.

AT 2045Z...REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED THE STRONGEST STORMS WERE
LOCATED ACROSS NRN TO WRN PORTIONS OF WW 723.  A BOWING LINE OF
STORMS EXTENDED FROM 25 N BKW TO 5 N BLF TO 40 WNW TRI...WITH
ADDITIONAL STORMS EXTENDING ALONG AND IN LEE OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN
FROM NRN VA TO NWRN NC.  OBJECTIVE ANALYSES SHOWED MODERATE
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE VALID PART OF THIS WW...WITH THE STRONGEST
DEEP LAYER SHEAR VALUES EXTENDING FROM NRN KY TO NRN VA.  ALTHOUGH
DEEP LAYER SHEAR TENDS TO WEAKEN WITH SWD EXTENT...ANY ELY COMPONENT
TO THE SURFACE WINDS WILL ENHANCE DEEP LAYER SHEAR OVER THE SRN PART
OF WW 723 TO SUPPORT STORM ORGANIZATION.  THUS...CAPE/SHEAR VALUES
WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR A SEVERE THREAT AS STORMS TRACK EWD THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS.

..PETERS.. 08/16/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...RLX...MRX...

37168251 37578172 38258155 38347846 36367842 36308097
36308255

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