[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 221037
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221036
TNZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-221200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0648
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0536 AM CDT FRI APR 22 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SRN KY...MIDDLE TN...NE MS...NRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 221036Z - 221200Z

SEVERAL LINE SEGMENTS ARE BEGINNING TO CONGEAL ACROSS WRN KY...WRN
TN AND NRN MS. AS THE LINE ORGANIZES AND MOVES EWD ACROSS THE
REGION...ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER CELLS. NO WW IS CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED BUT WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION.

TWO LINE SEGMENTS ARE CURRENTLY INTENSIFYING ALONG THE NRN END OF AN
AXIS OF INSTABILITY EXTENDING NEWD FROM NRN MS INTO WRN TN. THE
INTENSIFICATION IS LIKELY TAKING PLACE DUE TO THE EXPANDING
LOW-LEVEL JET ACROSS ERN AR AND WRN TN. ALTHOUGH THE LINES ARE
LIKELY SOMEWHAT ELEVATED...THE INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH MODERATE
VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD SUSTAIN THE CONVECTION AS IT MOVES EWD ACROSS
FAR SRN KY...MIDDLE TN...NRN AL AND NE MS. A FORWARD MOTION OF ABOUT
35 KT COMBINED WITH LAPSE RATES OF 7.0 TO 7.5 C/KM SHOULD RESULT IN
AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE AND/OR HAIL THREAT WITH THE STRONGER CELLS
IN THE LINE AND WITH BOWING LINE SEGMENTS.

..BROYLES.. 04/22/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

33908827 34408913 35068923 36148847 37058706 36758591
35918527 34808586 33878719

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