[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 111117
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111117
KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-111315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0552
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0617 AM CDT MON APR 11 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/NE AR THROUGH THE MS DELTA REGION

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 111117Z - 111315Z

...MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL POSSIBLE THIS MORNING BUT A WATCH IS NOT
ANTICIPATED...

STORMS ACROSS CNTRL AR HAVE BEEN INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THIS MORNING. COOLING CLOUD TOPS NOTED IN IR IMAGERY
SUGGEST STRONG DIFFLUENCE IS TAKING PLACE IN RESPONSE TO APPROACHING
UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK. LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION IS ALSO CREATING A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR STORMS AND SHOULD CONTINUE WITH A 40 KT
LOW LEVEL JET INCREASING ACROSS THE MS DELTA REGION THIS MORNING.
INSTABILITY IS LIMITED...BUT IT IS SUFFICIENT GIVEN STRONG DEEP
LAYER SHEAR AND VEERING PROFILES NOTED IN VWP DATA FROM LITTLE
ROCK/SHREVEPORT. ONGOING ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE INTO MID MORNING.

..TAYLOR.. 04/11/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...SGF...

36619196 35249315 33529180 35008962 36218869 37008884
37128953

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