[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 070142
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070142
ALZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-070215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0512
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0842 PM CDT WED APR 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN/ERN AR...MO BOOTHEEL...NRN MS...FAR WRN TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 133...

VALID 070142Z - 070215Z

THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS SHOULD PERSIST FOR 1-2 HOURS BEYOND THE
02Z EXPIRATION TIME OF WW 133 ACROSS NRN MS.  HOWEVER...OVERALL LOW
SEVERE THREAT AND AREAL COVERAGE ARE NOT EXPECTED TO WARRANT THE
ISSUANCE OF AN ADDITIONAL WW.  THIS COMBINED WITH CONTINUED DECREASE
IN SEVERE THREAT NWWD ACROSS NERN AR/MO BOOTHEEL AND FAR WRN TN WILL
ALLOW WW 133 TO EXPIRE AT 02Z.

STRONGEST STORM AT 0130Z WAS LOCATED OVER NERN TALLAHATCHIE COUNTY
MS AND LIKELY FORMED AT THE TRIPLE POINT OF THE OCCLUDED...COLD AND
WARM FRONTS.  THIS STORM WAS MOVING NEWD INTO A MORE STABLE AIR MASS
 NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT...WHERE CONTINUED LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING
WILL RESULT IN FURTHER STABILIZATION.  ANY STORMS THAT CAN DEVELOP
ALONG THE WARM FRONT OR WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE NEXT 1-2
HOURS WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF BEING SEVERE GIVEN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO
THE INSTABILITY AXIS OVER CENTRAL/SRN MS.

..PETERS.. 04/07/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...SGF...

36539296 36538989 33798805 33809045 34419108 34829173

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