[BNAWX] Severe Local Storm Watch and Watch Cancellation MSG

[EMWIN Server]

WWUS20 KWNS 190105
SEL2
SPC WW 190100
ARZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-190400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 862
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
800 PM CDT MON OCT 18 2004

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
       MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
       WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY EVENING FROM 800 PM UNTIL 1100 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF JONESBORO ARKANSAS
TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF NASHVILLE TENNESSEE.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 858. WATCH NUMBER 858 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 800
PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 857...WW 859...WW 860...WW 861...

DISCUSSION...STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT
SUPERCELLS THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WITH FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL SHEAR
AND BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE FOR TORNADOES. HOWEVER...THE TORNADO
THREAT MAY SLOWLY DIMINISH AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER SLOWLY
COOLS/STABILIZES WITH LARGE HAIL BECOMING THE MAIN THREAT LATER IN
THE EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.


...IMY

;362,0905 364,0861 350,0861 345,0905;



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