[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[Nashville EMWIN]

ACUS11 KWNS 150342
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150341
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-150515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1680
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1041 PM CDT WED JUL 14 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN AR/SWRN TN AND NRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 637...

VALID 150341Z - 150515Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS EXISTS WITH
MOST INTENSE STORMS ACROSS WW AREA.

REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS STORM REGENERATION ON PREFERRED
WRN/SWRN FLANK OF SMALL MCS IN PROGRESS OVER FAR SWRN TN INTO NRN
MS. FORCING FOR ASCENT IN RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER-LEVEL JET
STREAK OVER THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS COUPLED WITH INFLOW OF MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS ALONG WEAK WLY LLJ BRANCH OVER THE MS DELTA REGION
IS LIKELY AIDING IN THIS PROCESS. MOREOVER...BAND OF 35-45KT NWLY
FLOW AT 6KM PER MEMPHIS TN AND COLUMBUS MS VWPS IS RESULTING IN
SUFFICIENT DEEP-LAYER SHEAR FOR SOME MID-LEVEL ROTATION...IN
ADDITION TO PROMOTING FORWARD PROPAGATION OF SYSTEM.

GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS IN ADDITION TO ISOLATED LARGE
HAIL OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO WILL LIKELY BE WITH ORGANIZING LINE OF
STORMS FROM DESOTO ESEWD INTO PRENTISS COUNTIES IN FAR NRN MS.

..MEAD.. 07/15/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

36089092 35368816 33588812 34159091

WWWW
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